The euro was still close to $ 1.20 on Friday, but does not seem to be going beyond that.
“Technically, $ 1.20 is a resistance level,” said currency specialist Georgette Boele of ABN AMRO on Friday to ABM Financial News. “But we do not think that the euro will be able to rise further after this rate. Next week, the European Central Bank will have to work to bring the different views on policy into line, as several policymakers from the tapering body brought tapering to the attention. We believe that the ECB will not act on this, which is expected to bring the euro down against the dollar”, said Boele Friday.
The macroeconomic data from the United States were not only good on Thursday, but also confirmed figures that came out earlier. This was apparently an incentive for long-term interest rates to yield, thus offsetting the upward pressure for the dollar on the basis of the good figures. The long-term interest rate of the United States was 1.58 percent on Friday.
In addition to the significantly better than expected aid applications, good retail figures and industrial production came out in the US on Thursday.
“Moreover, it is not only a relative weakness of the dollar, but also a certain euro strength that is visible in the market. The European currency is also up against the British pound and the yen. We believe that the euro and the dollar will remain under the influence of macro data and the interest rate market up to the ECB.
This morning, several Chinese macro-economic data were released that showed pluses without exception, but with industrial production falling behind the forecast in March. China’s economy grew at 18.3 percent year-on-year in the first quarter, but the forecast was not met either.
Imports and exports of the euro area declined in February, and as exports declined more than imports, the trade surplus of the monetary union also decreased.
Euro area inflation in March did not change from provisional figures in the final measurement
This afternoon, residential building figures for March and preliminary consumer confidence for april as measured by the University of Michigan will follow in the United States.
The euro recorded flat on Friday at $ 1,1975. The European currency recorded 0.3 percent higher at 0.8705 British pounds. The British pound fell 0.2 percent to 1,3758 dollars on Friday. The dollar recorded 0.1 percent lower at 6.5223 Chinese yuan. The dollar today fell 0.1 percent to 108.8845 yen.